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Setting Nordhaus and Shellenberger Straight on Climate Economics

Setting Nordhaus and Shellenberger Straight on Climate Economics

In their LA Times article "The Green Bubble Has Burst"   Ted Nordhaus and Michael Shellenberger make two broad claims about the economics of the energy / climate change debate. The first is their assertion that "Drill baby drill" had anything to do with the reduction in oil prices this summer. It did not. If we have anyone to thank for lower gas prices in this country it is the American consumer, who reduced consumption enough to allow supply to finally catch up with global demand. It wasn't any fun, but we as a country did the heavy lifting this spring and summer to remedy the global supply/demand imbalance in the oil markets and OCS drilling had zero to do with it.

The second point is their assertion that an R&D program funded by the government is the best way to solve our linked energy and environmental problems.  This was also echoed in a blog posting by Andrew Sullivan of the Atlantic titled "Don't Control, Innovate". Whether or not you believe this approach had any promise of delivering results at the required scale in yesterday's economy is now a moot point. Given that we are faced with a large taxpayer-funded recovery program for the banking system, such additional public programs are unlikely to materialize. Even if they did, they would not be funded at a level that would make a meaningful difference in the pace of clean energy resource penetration. 

Indeed, if a new set of high-growth industries is needed to get America back on track, from re-tooling the auto industry to retrofitting buildings, to building the transmission infrastructure needed for a new energy economy, a cap and invest policy is our most effective policy solution. By combining limits on global warming pollution with incentives for private sector investment in clean energy, a smart cap and invest strategy can provide both the broad market drivers and targeted capital needed to build the new energy economy we need now more than ever.  And it does this by creating its own currency and collateral in the form of carbon allowances that can and should be independent of government budgets.

The benefits to the US economy in terms of job creation, export growth, and a reduced dependence on foreign oil will  provide a real economic stimulus and create a pathway to lower energy bills for Americans. This is more than we can ever hope to achieve by inadequate subsidies that would flow from a program limited to government R&D.  Cap and invest is more than just a way to curb CO2 emissions, it is an investment plan. By taking a significant portion of the revenues from carbon emissions markets and investing those in technology driven businesses in the early years, we will be growing industries and encouraging investment in America's new energy economy.

Tags:
climate, gasprices, globalwarming, markettransformation, nordhausshellenberger, ocsdrilling, oilconsumption

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Comments

Earl KillianOct 2 2008 10:33 AM

Nordhaus and Shellenberger's approach is empty; it is not a solution. They aim only to affect new energy, but we have more than enough existing sunk-cost dirty energy to hit 450ppm in less than 30 years. Any proposal that lacks a plan to close existing infrastructure is no plan at all.

We need to (1) Allow the EPA to enforce the Clean Air Act (as directed by the Supreme Court in Massachusetts v. EPA), e.g. garnering much tougher standards than the new CAFE; (2) Federal adoption of California policies, incentives, and regulations (e.g. Negawatts first); (3) Convert the US passenger fleet to PHEVs from 2010 to 2050; (4) Smart grid with V2G build out; (5) HVDC grid build out; (6) Federal Renewable Portfolio Standard; (7) Fossil power plant buy-outs / shutdowns to remove generation no longer needed from #1, #2, #6; (8) Reforestation; (9) Improved Ag practices; (10) biofuels from Ag residue (only) for PHEV backup fuel; and (11) use U.S. trade leverage to encourage countries that export to the U.S. to adopt greenhouse pollution policies such as our own. The U.S. government should also use its purchasing power to jumpstart deployment where possible.

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