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Cap, Invest Now and Recover

Cap, Invest Now and Recover

The current economic crisis, precipitated by the collapse of the housing market and ensuing credit freeze, presents challenges for the U.S. economy unlike any seen in a generation. Facing the prospect of a deep, multiyear recession, we must focus our efforts on an economic recovery plan that provides needed short-term stimulus and lays the groundwork for a stable, long-term recovery. Enacting a cap and trade system to limit global warming pollution is an essential component of a comprehensive plan to re-power America. Passing legislation to cap global warming pollution can spur investment, create millions of jobs, and help pull our lagging economy forward by providing the opportunity to borrow against the value of future pollution allowances and creating the market signals needed to trigger a surge of clean energy investments.

Capping Emissions Will Boost Our Economy

With credit markets stalled, our task is to get banks and other investors back to work lending to rebuild and re-power America. We most urgently need investments that create jobs, especially those that can improve the competitiveness and productivity of our domestic manufacturing base, lower costs to commercial and residential building owners, and help us develop alternative and renewable sources of energy to enhance our long-term energy security. A traditional stimulus package-even a very large one-can directly jump-start some short term clean energy investments such as home weatherization, but it will not provide enough money to sustain clean energy innovation over the long term.

What we need is a way to stimulate sustained private investment in efficiency and clean energy innovation. Climate legislation that combines a firm cap on global warming pollution with significant incentives for investing in clean technology-a "cap and invest" program-will help attract private financing, provide stable funding for developing and deploying advanced technology, and ensure that clean energy investments are sustainable over the long term.

A pollution cap will not interfere with the recovery because it will not increase energy costs in the short term. If climate legislation were enacted tomorrow, the emissions cap itself will not come into force for several more years. By auctioning and allocating emission allowances on a performance basis the "cap and invest" program will create streams of revenue that federal and state governments and industry can use as capital for efficiency and clean energy investments that drive down the long term costs of climate legislation. Meanwhile the value of future emission allowances for the U.S. economy will be quite significant, potentially more than $100 billion per year.

Enacting properly designed climate legislation now will encourage immediate and sustained capital investment in a new energy economy in three ways:

1. Climate legislation will sharply reduce the regulatory uncertainty that has previously limited capital investment in clean energy.

Long-term emission reduction targets and expectations of an impending market price on global warming pollution will give investors the confidence to invest in lasting clean energy infrastructure.

2. The federal government can immediately scale up incentives for efficiency and clean energy innovation.

Once the legislation is enacted, the implementing agency can begin granting the technology innovation and deployment incentives (e.g., loan guarantees, temporary production subsidies) set out in the legislation using, for example, a line of credit from the Treasury. This pre-cap incentives program should be over and above the clean energy investments planned in the stimulus package.1 When the cap takes effect, say in 2012, revenue from auctioning pollution allowances can pay back the Treasury for the investment expenditures incurred during the 2009 to 2011 ramp-up period, as well as pay for ongoing incentives. The program should include low cost financing for producers and purchasers of advanced technology vehicles, incentives and credit enhancement facilities for energy efficiency investments, and support for deployment of emerging clean energy supply technologies.

3. A well designed "cap and invest" program can help bridge the credit gap for the private sector and state governments.

As soon as the bill is enacted, states and companies can use future allowances as collateral for financing investment in qualified low-carbon initiatives. This source of collateral to ease borrowing is critical at a time when states face stark budget cutbacks and private sector borrowing to make investments that create jobs has nearly ground to a halt.

time2

Securing Emission Reductions through Performance-Based Incentives

Climate legislation should allocate all emission allowances or auction revenues for public purposes such as reducing emissions at the least overall cost to the economy and not for creating private windfalls. In particular, Congress should distribute the value of allowances on a performance basis to ensure that we receive the technological advancements we are committing public dollars to achieve. This can be done by tracking progress against clear benchmarks. For example, a performance-based distribution to states would reward those that improve their measured energy efficiency with additional funding over time.2 Similarly, an incentive for manufacturers would reward those that reduce their carbon emissions intensity relative to their direct competitors.3 Government incentives for developing and deploying advanced technologies should likewise be performance-based to ensure emerging technologies deliver clean energy at steadily declining costs over time.

Protecting the Value of Low-Carbon Investments through a Minimum "Bankable" Value for Allowances

To facilitate early investment and ensure a stable carbon allowance market, climate legislation should include a minimum reserve price for carbon allowance auctions, which in times of low allowance prices would reduce the number of allowances auctioned as needed to maintain a specified price floor. The EPA could retire the reserve allowances unused (thereby accelerating the emission reductions) or use any withheld "reserve" allowances as a cost control mechanism to be released in times of unexpected allowance price spikes.

The reserve price mechanism will assure the market that carbon allowances will have a minimum "cash value," thereby enabling firms and the government to use revenues from future carbon auctions as a form of "bankable" collateral for emissions reducing investments. In the current credit-constrained environment,

this desperately needed collateral would give banks the confidence to lend to industry for investments that will improve their energy performance. Similarly, states could begin ramping up energy efficiency efforts now by borrowing against future efficiency dollars anticipated under the cap and trade system.

Jumpstarting Stalled Investments

Well-designed carbon legislation that includes incentives for efficiency and clean energy innovation would jumpstart energy sector investments that have been stalled by a range of market barriers, all of which have recently been aggravated by the credit crisis. Important examples include:

  • Scaled-up investment in energy efficiency would create the millions of green-collar jobs desperately needed across the country.
  • Renewable energy companies will be better able to compete in a market that recognizes the true cost of carbon pollution from fossil-fuel-based energy sources. These same companies will have a stronger case when tapping banks for financing to pursue new technologies that can be utilized at home and exported overseas.
  • Coal plant developers and operators will be able to reduce carbon emissions by deploying carbon capture and storage (CCS) systems, which could then provide a cheap source of carbon dioxide to recover stranded domestic oil through a process called enhanced oil recovery (EOR). Increasing output from existing domestic wells has the potential to displace 100 percent of U.S. oil imports for 6 years.

Re-powering America Now

Passing climate legislation now that would complement the economic stimulus packages being put in place by the new administration would help ensure that efforts to jumpstart the economy also bring about a sustained recovery. Climate legislation that enables immediate investment in efficiency and clean energy innovation will help retain jobs in existing industries and drive the creation of new growth industries. A clean energy future for the United States will reduce dependence on fossil fuels and create export opportunities that boost our global competitiveness for decades to come. These investments will also lower our cost of doing business, improve our energy security, and reduce the effects of climate change.

One Example of How Cap and Invest Works in the Real World: Scaling up Energy Efficiency with Combined Heat and Power (CHP)

Manufacturers in the United States are now seeing their capital budgets contract as the cost of borrowing money rises and demand for products continues to decline. Companies are reducing their costs to limit the impact of the current economic slowdown, but without the investment capital needed to improve productivity, layoffs have become a painful short-term solution for many companies.

Well-designed climate legislation passed in 2009 can immediately provide industries with working capital-through direct incentives or collateral for private financing-for efficiency investments in domestic production facilities to lower their carbon intensity and improve their energy productivity relative to the average carbon intensity of their sector or in relation to their global competitors. This will continually reward companies that invest in efficiency or otherwise reduce emissions. Such a program will drive down bottom-line costs and help ensure that manufacturers who take advantage of these incentives remain committed to maintaining their domestic production facilities in the United States.

Putting Wasted Energy to Work

By capturing and utilizing the waste heat from industrial processes, combined heat and power (CHP) technology is a proven means for reducing fuel consumption and increasing carbon intensity and energy productivity. Scaling up CHP would not only make businesses more competitive and improve our energy security, it would also provide employment for the nearly one million people needed to engineer, manufacture, site, install, and maintain the CHP systems once installed.

CHP Investments Pay for Themselves Many Times Over

CHP already represents 9 percent of U.S. electricity capacity, or $60 billion in energy services in the year 2006.Climate legislation should prompt investment to increase our CHP capacity to at least 20 percent by 2030, bringing it in line with CHP deployment in many European countries today. Such an effort would require approximately $320billion in CHP investment, which would then buy us cumulative savings of $1.15 trillion in fuel costs and $151billion in reduced CO2 costs over the next two decades. Passing climate legislation now would encourage and enable immediate industrial investment in CHP and other energy productivity-enhancing technologies. Such investments would drive down energy costs for industry and increase demand for equipment from domestic manufacturers such as Caterpillar and General Electric.

chp2

 1 See the forthcoming Cap 2.0 briefs on energy efficiency for details on Super-efficient Buildings Incentive (SEBI), the Super-efficient Equipment and Appliances Deployment (SEAD) program. See the Cap 2.0 brief on Renewables for details on clean energy innovation support.

2 See the forthcoming Cap 2.0 policy brief on energy efficiency for details on channeling federal climate funds to states (or their local distribution companies) to encourage energy efficiency through a range of policies controlled at the state level, including building codes and smart utility regulation.

3 As proposed, for example, in the Doyle-Inslee bill (H.R. 7146).

4 See NRDC Fact Sheet on Carbon Capture and Storage with Enhanced Oil Recovery.

 

Tags:
capandtrade, carbonrisk, cleanenergy, climate, creditcrisis, markettransformation

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Comments

miggsJan 5 2009 09:12 PM

Thanks for devoting much of this post to CHP, which must indeed be a huge part of our efforts. Denmark now gets 55% of its power from CHP. Estimates say the U.S. could get 40% of its total electric generating capacity from CHP, which would slash our greenhouse emissions by 20% while cutting power costs. I'm associated with Recycled Energy Development, the company that's leading the charge on this. And the reason more isn't being done is that regulations are favoring the monopoly utilities instead. That's what we need to change.

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